The Colts won 14 games last season pretty much not even trying the last two weeks of the regular season.  That would make the 10.5 wins bet for 2010 look like an easy over play.  But I think the rest of the AFC South is looking a lot better for the 2010 season.  I would keep my money in my pocket as far as the over/under bet goes.  I would be willing to put some cash on the Colts to win the Super Bowl at 8-1 however.