The Tampa Bay Bucs have gotten off to an impressive 3-1 start which has them on top of the NFL South Division which is a huge surprise. They have achieved that record by running the football and playing good defense. The Colts are now 4-0 on the season but they have suffered a lot of injuries as of late that will effect them in this ball game.

The Colts will likely be without strong safety Bob Sanders and that is a huge blow to their run defense. The Colts have allowed 127.5 yards rushing per game and 4.5 yards per carry so the Bucs will likely try to take advantage of that weakness. Michael Pittman (170 yards rushing, 78 yards receiving) and Ernest Graham (136 yards rushing, 4.5 ypc, 3 TDs) will attack the Colts defense early and often. After the Bucs establish their running game look for Jeff Garcia to run some play action passes and attack the Colts secondary deep with Ike Hilliard (15 rec, 246 yards) and Joey Galloway (14 rec, 256 yards).

The Colts will likely go to the air more than they have so far this season. Peyton Manning has been outstanding as usual as he has completed 86 of 128 (67.2%) passes for 1,066 yards with 8 TD passes and 1 interception (110.4 QB Rating). The Colts will likely be without Joseph Addai and Marvin Harrison so they need other players to step up. RB Kenton Keith has played well as a reserve this season as he has carried the ball 23 times for 134 yards (5.8 ypc) so he should be able to find some running room against a Bucs defense that is allowing 118.3 yards rushing per game and 4.0 yards per carry. Reggie Wayne (21 rec, 307 yards) and tight end Dallas Clark (19 rec, 251 yards) will likely be Manning’s main targets. But, keep your eyes on first round pick Anthony Gonzalez who could have his best game as a pro.

PREDICTION: This game will be much closer than the 11 point spread. The Bucs will make a game of this but I like the Colts to win by a field goal.

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